Opponent Preview for 1/17/19: VMI

ETSU will face VMI (6-11) on Thursday in Freedom Hall. The 6-11 Keydets are ranked 329th by Kenpom. They have 3 wins over D1 opposition and no wins in the Socon. Their D1 wins include #319 USC Upstate (home), # 341 Stetson in OT (away) and #320 North Alabama (home) by 21 points 89-68. Stetson is the only road win. Perhaps their best game was coming within 3 of UNC Greensboro at home, 68-71, a game in which Dickey was working his way back into the lineup (9 points, 6 rebounds, 2 steals in 21 minutes). VMI led by 8 at the half and kept it close all the way. Sounds a little like Mercer against us. 

Six guys get 20 to 33 minutes: 5-11 155 Bubba Parham (the top scorer in the SoCon with 20.2 ppg, shooting .393 from 3), 6-4 200 Garrett Gilkeson (a tough physical Junior who has really improved his shooting from .359 FG% to .477 and has now got a 3 point shot; 10.7 ppg and 6.2 rebounds), 6-3 170 Sarju Patel, 6-5 181 Miles Lewis, and 6-10 245 Jr Tyler Creammer (20 minutes, 6.2 ppg, 6.5 rebounds). A seventh, 6-8 230 Fr Jake Stephens, gets 6.8 ppg and 3.5 rebounds in 16 minutes. Nobody else gets more than 2.7 ppg or 1.7 rebounds. 

They shoot 3’s well, at .344 with 9.7 makes (35th most makes in D1) to ETSU’s .359 with 8.5 makes. But their overall FG% is a low .419. Their FT% of 74.5 is 50th in D1 to the Bucs .680. They turn the ball over less than ETSU: 13.4 per game to 15.4 with both teams having a turnover margin of about -0.6. Considering their record, it is a little surprising to see that they have only a -4.1 scoring margin. They keep things fairly close. Rebounding margin is -2.8. Not so bad, in other words, that they can’t rise up and steal a game if you play like UNCG did. Or like the Bucs in the first half against Mercer. 

Kenpom has the Bucs favored by 22 at home. The Bucs don’t want to come out like they did against Mercer, “like prima donna’s” as Forbes said at the half, or they will find themselves sweating this one out, too. They need to be making strides toward the team they want to be. Get back to the killer instinct they showed against The Citadel.

Guards:
#03 5-11 155 So Bubba Parham; 33.4 minutes, 20.2 ppg, .409 FG%, .393 from 3 (3.4 makes), 3.6 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 3.0 t.o.’s, 
#02 6-4 200 Jr Garrett Gilkeson; 32.4 minutes, 10.7 ppg, .421 from 3 (1.4 makes), 6.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.8 t.o.’s, 1.7 steals 
#05 6-4 160 So Greg Parham; 29.6 minutes, 8.6 ppg, .314 from 3 (1.3 makes), 2.8 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.4 t.o.’s, 1.3 steals
#31 6-3 170 So Sarju Patel; 25.7 minutes, 9.2 ppg, .308 from 3 (1.4 makes), 3.1 rebounds
#12 6-0 173 So Ta’Vonne Bond; 12.2 minutes, 1.7 ppg, almost no 3’s, 1.2 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 1.0 t.o.’s, 0.8 steals

Front Court:
#15 6-5 181 So Miles Lewis; 23.5 minutes, 9.0 ppg, almost no 3’s, 4.9 rebounds, 0.9 steals
#25 6-10 245 Jr Tyler Creammer; 20.4 minutes, 6.2 ppg, almost no 3’s, 6.5 rebounds, 1.3 t.o.’s
#34 6-8 230 Fr Jake Stephens; 16.5 minutes, 6.8 ppg, .375 from 3 (1.2 makes), 3.5 rebounds
#21 6-7 205 Fr Connor Arnold; 7.5 minutes, 2.7 ppg almost all from 3, .375 from 3 (0.8 makes), 0.9 rebounds

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